The Assistant Basketball Coach has been called out by his readers..."Where is the analysis?Make a prediction" said one loyal fan. Well, after much thought, he/she is right so here are my predictions for the 2008 tournament:
1) Memphis will miss too many free throws to win the National Title
Only 2 teams have won the title shooting less than 60 percent and only 1 team since 1985 (Connecticut) has won the title shooting less than 65 percent. Memphis shoots a woeful 59 percent. This alone will keep a 1 loss team from winning it all.
2) If a team has an 8 point lead or more with 2:00 to go they will win the game
If a team has an 8 point lead under 2:00 then will win an amazing 98 percent of the time.
3) Stephen Curry (my true sleeper from an earlier blog) will be held under his tournament average against Wisconsin.
Wisconsin's Flowers may be the best defender in the nation and Curry will not fly under the radar like he did in the first 2 rounds.
4) The winner of the National Title will NOT come from the Pac 10
Only 1 Pac 10 team have won the title since 1997.
5) The winner of the National Title will have at least 30 wins
Only 1 team since 1985 (Arizona had 25-figures a Pac 10 team) has had fewer than 30 wins.
6) North Carolina will beat Washington State
North Carolina has too many weapons and is more athletic than Washington State. Also good offense beats good defense when you get to the round of 16 and beyond.
7) Kansas will win the National Title in 2008
Over the past 5 years every team that has gone on win the National Title has been in the top 10 in points scored per 100 possessions and the top 20 in points allowed per 100 possessions. Kansas and Davidson are the only teams that fit that criteria (Kansas ranks 1 and 4 respectfully while Davidson ranks 10 and 19). Therefore, I am going with Kansas to cut down the nets.
The Assistant Basketball Coach says you can take these predictions to the bank. Let me know what you think.
Tags:
College Basketball,Basketball,Washington State Basketball,Kansas Basketball,North Carolina Basketball,Memphis Basketball,National Title
3 comments:
You really go out on a limb here with these predictions, don't you? NC beats the wheat farmers, KU wins the national title, Memphis misses free throws, sun rises in the east. Talk about betting the "chalk." Here's one for you: The Pac 10 will win a national championship before the Big 10, Big 12, or the SEC.
Curry a sleeper? btw What is a "sleeper"? No doubt it's been a nice run but given four days to prepare and without the added benefit of playing a defense coached by Mark Few, Davidson will sleep with the fishes after the next game as Dell's son will come back to earth. He's a 6'3" shooting guard without the handles to play the 1. I think Bo Ryan and the Bad-jas can figure out how to get him stopped. Here's an idea-pound him coming off the screens, switch on the pops, and make their bigs slip cut into strong weak side help. Lock of the week: Wisconsin wins by double digits.
And while I'm sizzling hot with my predictions: here's another: Tony Bennett will be coaching a team with candy striper sweats by the time the Final 4 ends.
Dawg4life is out!
Well Dawgperson, If you actually did some research you would understand that I base my predictions on probabilities not luck. I also look at history which I see you have no grasp of. Your prediction that the Pac 10 will win a title before the Big 10 is laughable if you look at history. The Pac 10 has not won a title since 1997. I do like your Wisconsin pick since the Badgers have won 24 of their 35 games by 10 points or more. Your last pick was taken from one of my earlier blogs...not very original, then again I would assume since you don't understand history you would be apt to repeat it.
Coach
Davidson has had a nice run but once again I am agreeing with dawg4life. If Wisconsin can "Kingma" Curry to the floor a few times, he will not be able to dominate the way he did to the Zags
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